Homer-Dixon, Thomas F.; Boutwell, Jeffrey H.; Rathjens, George W.
Abstract
Over the next fifty years, growth of both population and world output will result in a sharp increase in the scarcity of renewable resources and a degradation of natural and environmental resources. The University of Toronto and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences commissioned studies to collect data on the impact of environmental problems on civil, social, and international strife. The studies suggest that scarcities of renewable resources are already contributing to violent crimes, and this trend will probably increase further in the coming decades.